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July 17, 2025

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Unlock the power of automated options trading with Tony Zhang, Chief Strategist at OptionsPlay. In this exclusive training, Tony reveals how the OptionsPlay Strategy Center, integrated with StockCharts.com, transforms the way traders find, analyze, and execute options strategies.

Follow along as Tony illustrates how to use OptionsPlay and StockCharts eliminate manual scans, reduce time spent digging through option chains, and zero in on high-probability trades with real-time, personalized insights. Throughout the video, Tony will explore how you can:

  • Automate strategy selection using technical scans.
  • Identify optimal call and put spreads with the best risk-reward ratios.
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  • Integrate your scans with personalized watchlists and chartlists.

Whether you’re selling credit spreads, buying calls, or seeking income from covered calls, this tool will change the way you trade — forever.

Check out the OptionsPlay plugin for StockCharts here!

This video premiered on July 15, 2025.

From the S&P 500’s pause within a bullish trend, to critical support levels in semiconductors, plus bullish breakouts in Ethereum and Bitcoin, Frank highlights how the market’s recent consolidation may lead to major upside. In this video, Frank explores how to use StockCharts to layer chart annotations, trend indicators, and pattern analysis for stronger evidence-based decisions. He also compares current chart structures to 2020-2021 in order to better understand what could be next.

This video originally premiered on July 16, 2025.

You can view previously recorded videos from Frank and other industry experts at this link.

This week, Joe analyzes all 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks in a rapid-fire format, offering key technical takeaways and highlighting potential setups in the process. Using his multi-timeframe momentum and trend approach, Joe shows how institutional investors assess relative strength, chart structure, ADX signals, and support zones. From Boeing’s triple bottom to Nvidia’s powerful trend, not to mention Microsoft’s key pullback level, this session is packed with insights for traders looking to stay in sync with the market’s leaders and laggards.

Joe has been working with institutional portfolio managers for the past 35 years, and this video shows the type of reads he gives to them during their phone calls.

The video premiered on July 16, 2025. Click this link to watch on Joe’s dedicated page. 

Archived videos from Joe are available at this link. Send symbol requests to stocktalk@stockcharts.com; you can also submit a request in the comments section below the video on YouTube. Symbol Requests can be sent in throughout the week prior to the next show.

Join Grayson as he shares how to streamline your analysis using custom ChartStyles. He demonstrates how to create one-click ChartStyles tailored to your favorite indicators, use style buttons to quickly switch between clean, focused views, and build a chart-leveling system that reduces noise and helps you stay locked in on what matters most.

This video originally premiered on July 16, 2025. Click on the above image to watch on our dedicated Grayson Roze page on StockCharts TV.

You can view previously recorded videos from Grayson at this link.

Governments and militaries around the world are beefing up their defense budgets as geopolitical and trade tensions mount. Unsurprisingly, aerospace and defense stocks are looking more attractive to investors. 

The aerospace and defense industry comprises covers a large array of products, including aircraft, autonomous vehicles, marine vessels, satellites, electronic systems, software, missiles, drones and tanks.

Global defense spending increased by 9.4 percent in 2024 to US$2.72 trillion, led by the United States, China, Russia, Germany and India.

For its part, Canada spent US$29.3 billion on defense in 2024, making it the 15th highest spender globally. The country has yet to meet NATO member country spending targets of 2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), coming in at 1.37 percent last year. However, this is expected to change in 2025.

In June, the Canadian government announced plans to invest an additional C$9 billion in the Canadian Armed Forces for the 2025/2026 fiscal year. The funds will go towards a wide array of improvements, including new aircraft, armed vehicles and drones.

“In an increasingly dangerous and divided world, Canada must assert its sovereignty,’ Prime Minister Mark Carney stated. ‘We will rapidly procure new equipment and technology, build our defence industrial capacity, and meet our NATO defence commitment this year. Canada will seize this opportunity with urgency and determination.”

Top 5 Canadian Defense Stocks

Canada’s aerospace and defense industry plays a large role both domestically and through exports. The Canadian Armed Forces prioritizes domestic equipment and services procurement, with 55 percent of expenditures made to Canadian suppliers in 2022.

The Canadian defense sector has historically outperformed the broader manufacturing sector in terms of industrial growth, according to a Government of Canada report.

Exports represent a significant portion of revenues for land and marine military goods and services. GlobalData reports that naval vessels and surface combatants, military fixed-wing aircrafts and military satellites are currently the most attractive segments of the country’s defense market.

1. CAE (TSX:CAE)

Market cap: C$12.33 billion

Established in 1947, CAE manufactures simulation technologies and digitally immersive training services for the aerospace, defense and healthcare industries. The company’s defense and security business unit provides training and mission support solutions for air, land, maritime, space and cybersecurity operations.

The company has regional defense and security training facilities in many countries and regions globally, namely the US, Canada, the United Kingdom, Europe, the Indo-Pacific and the Middle East. CAE’s annual revenue for its 2025 fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, was C$4.71 billion, up 10 percent year-over-year.

2. Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B)

Market cap: C$11.57 billion

A global leader in aviation, Bombardier is headquartered in Québec, Canada, and operates aerostructure, assembly and completion facilities in Canada, the US and Mexico. Although best known for its business jets, the company has also earned the distinction of being a trusted designer and manufacturer of military special-mission aircraft under its Bombardier Defense unit.

Bombardier Defense has a multi-year US$465 million contract to sell its Global 6000 jets to the US Air Force under the Battlefield Airborne Communications Node program, which began in 2021 and extends through 2026. Under the contract, Bombardier is selling modified Global aircrafts to the US Air Force. These aircrafts are specialized communications platforms that help bridge voice and data between forces on the ground and in the air.

Bombardier reported US$8.7 billion in revenue for 2024, up 8 percent year-over-year.

3. MDA Space (TSX:MDA)

Market cap: C$4.25 billion

MDA calls itself “an international space mission partner and a robotics, satellite systems and geointelligence pioneer.” The company is responsible for Canada’s first military satellite, Sapphire, which is designed to monitor Earth’s orbit and surveil outer space for man-made space debris and other satellites. Classified as a Space Situational Awareness small-satellite system, Sapphire was created for Canada’s Department of National Defence. MDA also provides satellite capabilities to the Department of National Defence’s Polar Epsilon satellite ground stations.

MDA reported strong top-line growth in 2024, with revenues of C$1.08 billion, up 34 percent year-over-year. The company expects 2025 full year revenues to be between C$1.5 billion and C$1.65 billion.

4. Magellan Aerospace (TSX:MAL)

Market cap: C$1.06 billion

Magellan Aerospace designs, manufacturers and services aeroengine and aerostructure assemblies and components for the global aerospace market, as well as proprietary products for the military and space submarkets.

In April of this year, the company signed an amendment to an important long-term revenue sharing agreement with GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE). The amendment includes the production of major components for the F414-GE-400K aircraft engine over a seven-year period for the Korean KF-21 fighter aircraft program for South Korea’s national arms procurement agency.

Magellan’s total revenue for 2024 came in at C$942.37 million, up 7.1 percent over the previous year.

5. Kraken Robotics (TSXV:PNG)

Market cap: C$767.92 million

Marine technology company Kraken Robotics provides advanced subsea sonar and laser systems, as well as batteries and robotics systems for unmanned underwater vehicles used in the military and commercially. According to Kraken, it is best known for its high-resolution 3D acoustic imaging solutions and services.

In February of this year, Kraken announced plans to open a new battery production facility in Nova Scotia, stating it aims to meet increasing demand for uncrewed underwater vehicles from the defense sector.

Kraken’s consolidated revenue for 2024 reached C$91.3 million, up 31 percent year-over-year. The company’s guidance for 2025 revenue is C$120 million to C$135 million.

Top Canadian Defense ETFs

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are marketable securities that track an index, a commodity, bonds or a basket of assets like an index fund. Investors can diversify their portfolio and lower the risk of investing in individual stocks with defense ETFs.

ETF Portfolio Blueprint has identified two Canadian Defense ETFs worthy of investor attention. All data was current as of June 30, 2025.

1. iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense Index ETF (TSX:XAD)

Assets under management: C$50.57 million

iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF launched in September 2023, and has an expense ratio of 0.44 percent. This fund replicates the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (BATS:ITA) and tracks the Dow Jones US Select Aerospace & Defense Index.

These defense stocks are typically stable companies in the sector whose revenues are mainly tied to long-term government contracts. Top holdings include RTX (NYSE:RTX), The Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT), General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) and L3Harris Technologies (NYSE:LHX).

2. Global X Defence Tech Index ETF (TSX:SHLD)

Assets under management: C$28.88 million

Launched in April 2025, the Global X Defense Tech Index ETF is the Canadian version of the Global X Defense Tech ETF (NYSEARCA:SHLD). Like its US equivalent, the ETF tracks the proprietary Global X Defense Tech Index, meaning this ETF differs from XAD by offering exposure to a mix of US and global defense stocks. As it is a brand new ETF, an expense ratio has not yet been calculated, but it has a management fee of 0.49 percent.

Its only holding is the US Global X Defense Tech ETF, which includes some of the biggest defense stocks such as Lockheed Martin and General Dynamics, and is also heavily weighted in Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR) and L3Harris Technologies.

Securities Disclosure: I, Melissa Pistilli, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

The gold price soared to new record highs during the second quarter of 2025, the most recent coming when it climbed to C$4,663.85, or US$3,433.47, on June 13.

Several factors fueled gold price momentum toward the end of the second quarter, including an escalation in Middle East tensions as Israel and Iran entered into direct conflict. Although a cease fire was announced, it came after the United States dropped several 30,000 pound bombs on key Iranian nuclear sites.

Additional support for gold has come from continued uncertainty in global financial markets as the US’s tariff strategy continues.

Since the beginning of the year, investors have sought the relative safety of gold and gold-backed investment products, which have pushed the price up more than 25 percent.

Against that backdrop, which TSX-listed gold stocks have performed the best? The companies listed below have been the top performers this year. Data was retrieved on July 2, 2025, using TradingView’s stock screener. Only companies with market capitalizations greater than C$50 million are included.

1. Belo Sun (TSX:BSX)

Year-to-date gain: 276.47 percent
Market cap: C$144.68 million
Share price: C$0.32

Belo Sun Mining is an exploration and development company focused on advancing its Volta Grande gold project in Brazil.

The property covers approximately 2,400 hectares within the Tres Palmeiras greenstone belt in Pará State, Brazil. The company has been working on the project since 2003, and acquired necessary development permits in 2014 and 2017.

A 2015 mineral reserve estimate demonstrated a proven and probable reserve of 3.79 million ounces of gold from 116 million metric tons of ore with an average gold grade of 1.02 per metric ton (g/t).

Development at the site stalled in 2018 after a federal judge ruled that the Federal Brazilian Institute of the Environment (IBAMA) would be the competent authority for issuing environmental permits. The decision was overturned in 2019, with the Secretariat of Environment and Sustainability of the State of Pará (SEMAS) reassuming its permitting authority. The decision was once again reversed in September 2023, returning authority to IBAMA.

On January 23, Belo Sun announced that the Federal Court of Appeals had reassigned SEMAS as the permitting authority for the Volta Grande project. The company said it was pleased with the decision, as the agency is familiar with the project and enjoys a constructive and transparent relationship with it.

The most recent news came on June 23, when the company announced that shareholders had approved a renewal of the company’s governance structure and elected four new directors to the board. Four of the board’s six members are now either Brazilian or have spent significant parts of their careers working in Brazil.

Shares in Belo Sun reached a year-to-date high of C$0.35 on June 16.

2. Euro Sun Mining (TSX:ESM)

Year-to-date gain: 200 percent
Market cap: C$53.71 million
Share price: C$0.135

Euro Sun Mining is a development-stage company advancing its Rovina Valley copper-gold project in Romania. The project’s mining license received full approval for 20 years in 2018, with the option to renew it in five year increments.

An updated feasibility study from March 2022 demonstrated the project’s economics, showing a post-tax net present value of US$512 million and an internal rate of return of 20.5 percent, assuming a base case gold price of US$1,675 per ounce and a copper price of US$3.75 per pound.

Proven and probable mineral reserve estimates for the site include 1.84 million ounces of gold and 197,522 metric tons of copper from 123.3 million metric tons of ore with an average grade of 0.47 g/t gold and 0.16 percent copper.

Shares in Euro Sun saw their most significant gains around the same time as a March 25 announcement that the EU included Rovina Valley on its first list of strategic assets. The inclusion, which Euro Sun applied for in May 2024, will enable the company to expedite permitting at Rovina Valley and shorten the development timeline.

On May 7, Euro Sun reported it met with Romania’s Minister of the Environment to discuss the advancement of the project. Both parties agreed that a single point of contact was needed to ensure compliance and fulfill requirements under the CRMA framework. The company plans to submit an updated environmental act in the near future.

On June 20, Euro Sun reported it signed a copper concentrates prepayment facility for up to US$200 million with private metals trader Trafigura, with the funding going towards the necessary permitting and investment to advance Rovina over the next 18 months.

Shares in Euro Sun reached a year-to-date high of C$0.145 on June 2.

3. Collective Mining (TSX:CNL)

Year-to-date gain: 165.05 percent
Market cap: C$1.26 billion
Share price: C$15.85

Collective Mining is a gold, copper and silver exploration company with focused interests in Caldas, Colombia.

Its two projects, Guayabales and San Antonio, consolidate large portions of a mineral belt that surrounds Aris Mining’s (TSX:ARIS,NYSE:ARMN)Marmato mine and within a region with 10 operating mines.

The Guayabales project comprises 26 claims spanning a total area of 4,780.98 hectares. Collective Mining has conducted extensive exploration at the property in 2025, with a primary focus on expanding the Apollo zone. The company also drilled multiple look-alike targets.

The most recent exploration report was released on June 30, when the company announced the discovery of a new high-grade vein system, with a highlighted assay of 534 g/t gold over 0.67 meters. However, the company stated that drilling was retargeted after results from a gravimetric survey indicated that the drill hole was outside the mineralized breccia body.

On June 23, Collective accelerated its agreement to acquire a 100 percent stake in the Guayabales property. Under the original agreement, Collective had until 2032 to make the required payments and incur the necessary exploration expenditures.

The company reported that the financial considerations remained the same under the amended agreement, but C$2 million would be paid immediately, with an additional C$2 million paid within one month of the title transfer request being filed and C$2.3 million after two months. The remaining C$3.5 million will now be paid out in six equal installments over a three-year period from the date of the amended agreement.

Shares in Collective Mining reached a year-to-date high of C$15.85 on July 2.

4. Starcore International (TSX:SAM)

Year-to-date gain: 150 percent
Market cap: C$19.06 million
Share price: C$0.325

Starcore International is a gold exploration and mining company with assets in Mexico, Canada and Côte d’Ivoire. Its primary asset is the San Martin mine in Queretaro, Mexico.

In the company’s fourth-quarter production results, released on May 13, it reported reaching a significant commissioning milestone in the new processing circuit and milling 5,000 metric tons of stockpiled ore.

The mine produced 3,242 gold-equivalent ounces during the quarter, up 3 percent from 2,268 ounces during the previous quarter. The company added that it was continuing to explore and develop a new area in the southern section of the mine.

Outside its Mexican operations, the main focus throughout 2025 has been its Kimoukro gold project in Côte d’Ivoire.

On April 9, Starcore reported results from 2024 exploration work at the project and an update on its activities at the project. In 2024, the company completed 55 line kilometers of induced polarization geophysical and ground magnetic surveying, along with a 355 hole, 2,988 meter auger drilling campaign.

Based on the results from the drilling, which aimed to confirm an identified gold anomaly in the topsoil, the anomaly is about 2.5 kilometers long and 500 to 800 meters wide, with an average grade of more than 20 parts per billion gold.

In the update, Starcore reported it established a field office during Q1 2025 and is completing a soil sampling program covering 5.5 square kilometers and 1,300 samples up to a depth of 1 meter.

Shares in Starcore reached a year-to-date high of C$0.325 on June 4.

5. Troilus Gold (TSX:TLG)

Year-to-date gain: 139.9 percent
Market cap: C$272.7 million
Share price: C$0.69

Troilus Gold is advancing its namesake property in Northern Québec, Canada.

The project is situated within the region covered by Plan Nord, a 25 year, C$80 billion development initiative focused on mining launched by the Government of Québec.

A May 2024 feasibility study revealed financials with a post-tax net present value of US$884.5 million, an internal rate of return of 14 percent and a payback period of 5.7 years based on a gold price of US$1,975 per ounce.

The included mineral resource estimate reports a probable mineral reserve of 6.02 million ounces of gold from 380 million metric tons of ore at an average grade of 0.49 g/t gold. It also hosts probable copper and silver reserves of 484 million pounds and 12.15 million ounces respectively.

Troilus has spent much of 2025 raising funds for the project’s development. The most significant came on March 13, when the company announced that it executed a mandate letter for a non-binding term sheet for a debt financing package of up to US$700 million.

The company noted that it had followed up on four letters of intent, resulting in a total potential funding of up to US$1.3 billion.

More recently, Troilus announced on June 18 that it had entered into an offtake agreement for gold-copper concentrate with German smelting company Aurubis (OTC Pink:AIAGF,XETRA:NDA).

The agreement is being executed in connection with the previously announced letter of intent for US$700 million in funding. According to Troilus, this includes a loan guarantee of up to US$500 million from a firm representing the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Action.

Shares in Troilus reached a year-to-date high of C$0.73 on June 17.

Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Major miner Barrick Mining (TSX:ABX,NYSE:B) is reportedly in advanced talks to sell its last remaining Canadian mine, Hemlo, to Discovery Silver (TSX:DSV,OTCQX:DSVSF).

Citing people familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday (July 15) that the discussions, which began in April, have reached the final stages, although a deal has not yet been finalized.

If completed, the sale of the Ontario-based asset would mark Barrick’s full exit from gold mining in its home country, continuing a broader strategy of offloading smaller, less profitable assets as gold re-enters the spotlight.

Gold has climbed to record highs this year, reaching the US$3,500 per ounce level as geopolitical shocks — including US President Donald Trump’s tariff campaign and ongoing global conflicts — have driven investors toward safe havens.

That rally has reignited consolidation in the mining sector, with large producers like Barrick and Newmont (TSX:NGT,NYSE:NEM) streamlining their portfolios and junior miners seeking to grow.

Discovery Silver has emerged as an active buyer during this time.

In January, the company acquired Newmont’s Porcupine gold mine in Ontario for up to US$425 million. Buying Hemlo would deepen its footprint in Canada at a time when investor interest in North American assets is rising.

Mali seizes more gold from Barrick

For Barrick, the possible sale comes as the company faces legal and political headwinds in Mali, where its Loulo-Gounkoto complex has been embroiled in a bitter standoff with the ruling military junta.

On July 10, helicopters operated by Mali’s military landed unannounced at the Loulo-Gounkoto site and removed over a metric ton of gold — worth over US$117 million at current prices — without Barrick’s consent. The gold was likely taken for sale by the government-appointed provisional administrator that now oversees the site, the company said.

This is the second such seizure this year, following a January incident in which 3 metric tons of gold were taken and all exports were blocked, forcing Barrick to suspend operations.

Barrick has since launched international arbitration proceedings at the International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), citing “violations of its legal rights.”

“I want to reaffirm Barrick’s commitment to Mali, even as we navigate extraordinary and unprecedented challenges,” CEO Mark Bristow said on July 12. “While we continue to engage constructively with the government of Mali, the ICSID process provides the legal certainty and international oversight necessary to resolve this dispute definitively.”

Barrick maintains that the provisional administration of the mine, which came after a controversial local court order in June, is unlawful. The firm also says it was never formally notified of the administrator’s appointment and was merely told that Samba Touré, a former Barrick employee and advisor to the mining ministry, would act as a liaison.

The government’s moves coincide with President Assimi Goïta’s latest political maneuver — a new law granting him an indefinite mandate “until the country is pacified.” Goïta seized power in a 2021 coup, his second in less than a year, and has since tightened control over the judiciary and state institutions.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and MP Materials (NYSE:MP) have signed a US$500 million supply agreement to manufacture rare earth magnets in the US from 100 percent recycled materials.

Under the deal, MP will deliver recycled magnets starting in 2027 to support “hundreds of millions” of Apple devices, including iPhones, iPads and MacBooks. Announced on Tuesday (July 15), the deal marks a major step forward in Apple’s plan to build more sustainable domestic supply chains for its core technologies.

“American innovation drives everything we do at Apple, and we’re proud to deepen our investment in the US economy,” Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a press release. “Rare earth materials are essential for making advanced technology, and this partnership will help strengthen the supply of these vital materials here in the United States.”

The two companies spent nearly five years developing recycling technologies capable of meeting Apple’s stringent performance and environmental standards. Now, MP will build a commercial-scale recycling line at its Mountain Pass site to process magnet scrap and recovered components from decommissioned products.

To fulfill Apple’s requirements, MP will also expand its Fort Worth, Texas, facility — dubbed “Independence” — creating dozens of new roles in manufacturing, as well as research and development.

“We are proud to partner with Apple to launch MP’s recycling platform and scale up our magnetics business,” said MP CEO James Litinsky in a separate Tuesday press release. “This collaboration deepens our vertical integration, strengthens supply chain resilience, and reinforces America’s industrial capacity at a pivotal moment.”

MP’s share price soared 20 percent following the news, pushing its market cap to near US$10 billion.

Analysts view the deal as a validation of MP’s strategy to build a fully domestic rare earth magnet supply chain and as a boost to national efforts to reduce reliance on China, which controls roughly 70 percent of global rare earths supply.

MP currently operates the only active US rare earths mine at Mountain Pass. Rare earth magnets produced from its materials power devices ranging from consumer electronics and electric vehicles to wind turbines and defense systems.

MP teams up with defense department

Just days before the Apple deal, MP secured a US$400 million preferred equity investment from the US Department of Defense (DoD), making the Pentagon its largest shareholder.

The funds will support a second magnet manufacturing plant — called the 10X facility — which is slated for commissioning in 2028 and will increase MP’s annual magnet output to 10,000 metric tons.

The government has also committed to purchasing 100 percent of the magnets produced at the new plant for 10 years, guaranteeing a floor price of US$110 per kilogram for neodymium-praseodymium oxide.

If market prices fall below that level, the DoD will pay the difference. Once production begins, the government will also receive 30 percent of any profits above the guaranteed price.

With operations spanning mining, separation, metallization and magnet production, MP is currently the only US firm with end-to-end capabilities for rare earth magnet manufacturing. The company is also expecting a US$150 million Pentagon loan to enhance its heavy rare earths separation capabilities at Mountain Pass.

MP’s Independence facility in Texas, alongside the upcoming 10X plant, anchors its downstream production strategy. The recycled feedstock used for Apple’s magnets will be sourced from post-industrial waste and retired electronics — reducing environmental impact while reinforcing resource resilience.

Apple, for its part, is pressing ahead with its US$500 billion US manufacturing initiative.

Earlier this year, it announced plans for a new artificial intelligence server factory in Texas and signaled continued interest in reshoring key parts of its production ecosystem.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Silver took some luster from gold in Q2 as its price climbed to 14 year highs.

Many of the same contributors that affected the gold price were also in play for silver.

Uncertainty in financial markets, driven by a chaotic US trade and tariff policy, coincided with rising tensions in the Middle East and continued fighting between Russia and Ukraine, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets.

Unlike gold, however, silver also saw gains as industrial demand strained overall supply.

What happened to the silver price in Q2?

The quarter opened with the price of silver sinking from US$33.77 per ounce on April 2 to US$29.57 on April 4. However, the metal quickly found momentum and climbed back above the US$30 mark on April 9.

Silver continued upward through much of April, peaking at US$33.63 on April 23.

Volatility was the story through the end of April and into May, with silver fluctuating between a low of US$32.05 on May 2 and a high of US$33.46 on May 23.

Silver price, April 1 to July 17, 2025.

Chart via Trading Economics.

At the start of June, the price of silver soared to 14 year highs, opening the month at US$32.99 and rising to US$36.76 by June 9. Ultimately, the metal reached a year-to-date high of US$37.12 on June 17. Although the price has eased slightly from its high, it has remained in the US$36 to US$37 range to the end of the quarter and into July.

Silver supply/demand balance still tight

Various factors impacted silver in the second quarter of the year, but industrial demand was a primary driver in both upward and downward movements. Over the past several years, silver has been increasingly utilized in industrial sectors, particularly in the production of photovoltaics. In fact, according to the Silver Institute’s latest World Silver Survey, released on April 16, demand for the metal reached a record 680.5 million ounces in 2024.

Artificial intelligence, vehicle electrification and grid infrastructure all contributed to demand growth

At the same time, mine supply has failed to keep up, with the institute reporting a 148.9 million ounce production shortfall. This marked the fourth consecutive year of structural deficit in the silver market.

“(We have) flat supply, growing demand — demand that’s nearly 20 percent above supply,’ he said. ‘And our ability to meet those deficits is shrinking because we’re tapping into these aboveground stockpiles that have shrunk by about 800 million ounces in the last four years, which is equivalent to an entire year’s mine supply. So it’s the perfect storm.’

But industrial demand can send the silver price in either direction.

The chaos caused by Trump’s on-again, off-again tariffs has caused some consternation among investors.

While gold and silver have traditionally both been viewed as safe-haven assets, silver’s increasing industrial demand has decoupled it slightly from that aspect. When Trump announced his ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs on April 2, silver was impacted due to fears that a recession could cause demand for the metal to slip.

Although the dip in silver was short-lived, it was one of its steepest falls in recent years.

“If a global recession really starts, silver will most likely nosedive momentarily. In terms of its 2025 performance, silver growth has been largely bolstered by consolidated precious metals group appreciation, additionally beefed up by relative USD weakness.’

Geopolitics and the silver price

Adding to the tailwinds is a growing east-west divide. Due to its usage in industrial components, particularly those related to the military and energy sectors, and its role as a safe haven, silver is being influenced by geopolitics.

June’s price rally came alongside growing speculation that Israel was preparing to attack Iranian nuclear sites. Investors became concerned that war could disrupt international trade and oil movements in the region.

Ultimately, their concerns were proven right, and Israel launched attacks on June 12; the US then bombed key nuclear facilities on June 21. While the escalation is new, the underlying politics have been simmering for years.

Sanctions against Russia have strengthened support among the BRICS nations, which have been working to reduce their reliance on US dollar assets, such as treasuries, and increase trade in their own currencies.

But they may also be working to separate themselves from western commodities markets. In October 2024, Russia floated the idea of creating a precious metals exchange to its BRICS counterparts. If established, it could shake up pricing for commodities like silver, allowing Russia to circumvent sanctions and trade with its bloc partners.

While the exchange is still just an idea, a bifurcated world is not. While the US has targeted most nations with tariffs, it has singled out China. Much of the first half of the year saw the world’s two largest economies escalate import fees with one another, with China even restricting the export of rare earth elements to the US.

Discussions on national security and critical minerals have been at the forefront for the last several years. Still, they have become even more pronounced with the US and China on tense footing.

“Even if that’s going to happen, industrial use value — building infrastructure, building national security, national energy priorities — needs a lot of silver, and there just simply isn’t enough supply out of the ground to meet the demand. That’s long-term demand above the ground. This has been a thing, but right now, because of these geopolitical forces and realignments, silver is going to drop more into that industrial role,” she said.

Silver price forecast for 2025

Overall, the expectation is that without new mine supply and dwindling aboveground stockpiles, silver is likely to remain in deficit for some time. Other factors, like Trump tariffs and geopolitics, aren’t likely to disappear either.

Demand could ease off if a global recession were to materialize, but safe-haven investing could offset declines.

For his part, Krauth thinks the silver price is likely to remain above the US$35 mark, but it could fluctuate and he suggested a rally in the US dollar could push the silver price down. However, he also sees some pressure easing on the recession side of the equation if the US signs tariff deals that would eliminate some uncertainty.

“US$40, let’s say by the end of this year,’ he said, adding, ‘Frankly, I could see something really realistically above that, maybe an additional 10 percent if the scenario plays out right.’

He doesn’t think that’s the end. In the longer term, Krauth sees silver going even higher. He pointed to the current gold-silver ratio, which is around 92:1, compared to an average of 60:1 over the last 50 years.

“So we could go to, who knows, somewhere like maybe 40 or 30 to one in the ratio. That would be tremendous for silver — that could bring silver above US$100. I’m not saying that’s happening tomorrow, but in the next couple of years I would say that’s certainly something that could easily be in the cards,” Krauth said.

Fundamentals and geopolitics aligned for silver in the first half of 2025, and barring a recession, they are likely to provide tailwinds in the second half. Whether the price climbs or continues to find support at US$35 is yet to be seen.

Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Consumer prices rose in June as President Donald Trump’s tariffs began to slowly work their way through the U.S. economy.

The consumer price index, a broad-based measure of goods and services costs, increased 0.3% on the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.7%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The numbers were right in line with the Dow Jones consensus, though the annual rate is the highest since February.

Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core inflation picked up 0.2% on the month, with the annual rate moving to 2.9%, with the annual rate in line with estimates. The monthly level was slightly below the outlook for a 0.3% gain.

A worker prices produce at a grocery store in San Francisco, California, US, on Friday, June 7, 2024.David Paul Morris / Bloomberg via Getty Images

Prior to June, inflation had been on a generally downward slope for the year, with headline CPI at a 3% annual rate back in January and progressing gradually slower in the subsequent months despite fears that Trump’s trade war would drive prices higher.

While the evidence in June was mixed on how much influence tariffs had over prices, there were signs that the duties are having an impact.

Vehicle prices fell on the month, with prices on new vehicles down 0.3% and used car and trucks tumbling 0.7%. However, tariff-sensitive apparel prices increased 0.4%. Household furnishings, which also are influenced by tariffs, increased 1% for the month.

Shelter prices increased just 0.2% for the month, but the BLS said the category was still the largest contributor to the overall CPI gain. The index rose 3.8% from a year ago. Within the category, a measurement of what homeowners feel they could receive if they rented their properties increased 0.3%. However, lodging away from home slipped 2.9%.

Elsewhere, food prices increased 0.3% for the month, putting the annual gain at 3%, while energy prices reversed a loss in May and rose 0.9%, though they are still down marginally from a year ago. Medical care services were up 0.6% while transportation services edged higher by 0.2%.

With the rise in prices, inflation-adjusted hourly earnings fell 0.1% in June, the BLS said in a separate release. Real earnings increased 1% on an annual basis.

Markets largely took the inflation report in stride. Stock market indexes were mixed while Treasury yields were mostly negative.

Amid the previously muted inflation ratings, Trump has been urging the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which it has not done since December. The president has insisted that tariffs are not aggravating inflation, and has contended that the Fed’s refusal to ease is raising the costs the U.S. has to pay on its burgeoning debt and deficit problem.

Central bankers, led by Chair Jerome Powell, have refused to budge. They insist that the U.S. economy is in a strong enough position now that the Fed can afford to wait to see the impact tariffs will have on inflation. Trump in turn has called on Powell to resign and is certain to name someone else to the job when the chair’s term expires in May 2026.

Markets expect the Fed to stay on hold when it meets at the end of July and then cut by a quarter percentage point in September.

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