American Rare Earths Limited (ARR:AU) has announced ARR advances permitting at Cowboy State Mine
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Challenger Gold Limited (ASX: CEL) (‘CEL’ or the ‘Company’) is pleased to announce it has entered into an Investment Protection Agreement (“IPA” or “the Agreement”) with the Government of Ecuador for its 100% owned El Guayabo Project (“El Guayabo” or “the Project”). Under the terms of the IPA, the Government of Ecuador has granted CEL legal protections including stability of the regulatory framework, resolution of disputes through international arbitration, and protection of CEL’s investment.
The IPA covers US$75 million in investment from CEL encompassing expenditures from CEL’s initial acquisition of the project in 2019 and expenditure incurred until the end of 2027. It has an initial term of 8 years and is renewable. Key incentives and protections under the IPA include:
- Regulatory stability and protection from changes to the current legal framework
- The legal framework at the time of execution will continue to apply if the terms are more favourable to the project owner than any potential new framework
- The IPA guarantees rights including non-discriminatory treatment, property protection, and legal certainty
- International arbitration, should there be any disputes in relation to the Project, with the seat of arbitration in London under the rules of the International Chamber of Commerce
Commenting on the Investment Protection Agreement, CEL Managing Director, Mr Kris Knauer, said
“The completion of the Investment Protection Agreement is a significant development for the Project..
The IPA provides certainty with respect to the legal framework governing the Project, including stable mining regulations and fiscal terms, and security of title and investment for the term of the agreement. Additionally, it provides protection from all forms of confiscation and a mechanism for international arbitration should there be any disputes related to the project.
The IPA is also timely given recent corporate action in Ecuador as we take steps to monetise our Ecuador assets following the significant resource upgrade from 4.5 million ounce1 to 9.1 million ounces1,2,3.‘
Click here for the full ASX Release
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McLaren Minerals Limited (ASX: MML) (‘McLaren’ or ‘Company’), is pleased to provide a further update on the phase 1 Drill Program at its wholly owned McLaren Titanium Project in the western Eucla Basin, Western Australia. This update is driven by the completion of geological interpretation of all the drilling during this campaign, in the absence of laboratory results.
Highlights
McLaren Titanium Project
- 192 drill holes completed for a total of 4,067 metres, on time and without incident
- Significant extensions of prospective sediments outside of currently known resource boundaries observed during drilling:
- North extension: approximately 2,200m wide, avg. 14m thick (max 23m),
- Central zone eastern extension: 800m wide, avg. 20m thick (max 23m),
- Southern zone: 2,600m wide, avg. 10m thick (max 15m).
- Metallurgical and geological samples submitted to IHC and Diamantina Laboratories
- Geological work has improved confidence in deposit morphology and is expected to reduce future drilling costs
- Strong community support confirmed within an established mining region
McLaren Mineral Sands Managing Director, Simon Finnis, commented:
“While we have not yet received any assays, phase 1 has delivered strong confidence to our team regarding this project. The most recent interpretation not only confirm the integrity of our geological model, but importantly, demonstrates the scale of the opportunity ahead. Defining substantial potential for mineralisation outside the current Resource boundary positions us well for future resource growth. We’ve also made solid ground operationally—drilling was completed on time, we’ve brought costs down, and we’re seeing strong local support. Taken together, these outcomes give us a great deal of confidence as we move toward the next phase of work and continue building long-term value for shareholders.”
Click here for the full ASX Release
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In order to invest or trade successfully, you have to have conviction. Conviction does not equal stubbornness. It’s very important to remain objective and occasionally question your conviction and adjust your strategy from time to time if signals warrant it. But I cannot trade personally if I believe there’s a 50/50 chance the market is going higher. That doubt will resonate with each and every swing in the market. I’ll chase at the wrong time and get whipsawed out of positions.
Instead, I evaluate those signals that work best for me – the same signals that have allowed me go against the grain and call significant market tops and bottoms over the past 5-7 years. Few were saying it was time to be long in early April, but I was quite clear. Topping signals were just as evident to me earlier this year, leading me to tell EarningsBeats.com members that I was 100% cash at the end of January. The technical confirmation of a market top occurred on Friday, February 21st. I published my belief of that confirmed market top in this same blog – again rather clearly:
You can click on this headline and read the whole story, if you’d like. After letting EB.com members know that I was fully committed on the long side in early April, because of bullish market maker manipulation, I have continued to track that market maker manipulation. Through Friday, it’s still telling me the same thing – BUY US STOCKS!
The Manipulation Continues
Listen, we’ve seen a massive run higher off that early-April low and profit taking and pullbacks will occur. That cannot deter us and should not be misconstrued as distribution ahead of a major market decline. In fact, there are a lot of technicians and market analysts talking about the big selling that’s taken place over the past week and how that will lead to further selling ahead. I completely disagree with this crew. We’ve seen almost zero selling or distribution in recent days. What we’ve seen are more gap downs, just like the ones that occurred after the March 13th low. Those opening and early morning selloffs saw subsequent buying throughout trading sessions. Check out the accumulation/distribution indicator on both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 below:
S&P 500
You can see the AD line take a bit of a hit during the true period of distribution in 2025. Currently, however, the AD line is very near its all-time high. Last week (since Monday’s close), the SPY lost 15.74, falling from 594.85 to Friday’s close at 579.11. That was roughly a 2.5% pullback, but here’s what’s interesting. The SPY had gap downs the past four trading days that totaled 13.65. Nearly all of last week’s drop occurred at the opening bell. There was little selling during the trading day. We track this manipulative behavior in our “2025 Key Stocks Manipulation” excel spreadsheet, which we update for our members every Monday morning, so our members can clearly see the manipulation taking place on the SPY, QQQ, IWM, and 11 individual stocks, including Mag 7 stocks and a few others. It’s independent research and has helped us completely ignore the bearish and biased media. They’re interested in viewership and clicks and will scare the heck out of everyone to achieve their own selfish, money-making goals. EarningsBeats.com is interested in helping folks navigate a landscape designed to misinform and mislead. We’re interested in making money, that’s it. Follow the charts, not the headlines.
NASDAQ 100
The AD line exploded higher on the NASDAQ 100, mostly because Mag 7 stocks were heavily accumulated during the early-April massacre. The same thing occurred in March 2020 during the pandemic, prior to these stocks skyrocketing later in 2020. Then we saw a repeat in 2022, before a massive explosion higher in 2023. Once again, we’re seeing Wall Street’s “rinse and repeat” strategy of effectively stealing shares from unsuspecting retail traders. And once again, these stocks have been flying again.
It’s up to us to learn these lessons and not make the same mistakes over and over again during cyclical bear markets. At EarningsBeats.com, we take advantage of these selloffs before they occur. First, we move to cash. Next, we watch the stocks tumble. Third, we buy back in much cheaper at the same time that Wall Street does. Doesn’t this sound like a much better strategy? Follow what Wall Street is buying, not what they’re saying.
This manipulation applies to an even greater extent to individual stocks. One of my favorite stocks has been ridiculously-manipulated in 2025. Over the past four trading days, while the S&P 500 has been under pressure, this stock has gapped down 3.13, but has moved 8 bucks higher during the trading day. It’s one of our 12 individual stocks that we track each week and showed the most manipulation last week. Its AD line is soaring again and its relative strength vs. its industry peers has exploded higher since the first week of March. Owning stocks like this help us significantly outperform the S&P 500.
I’m featuring this stock in our FREE EB Digest newsletter on Tuesday morning. To register for our newsletter and receive this stock Tuesday morning before the market opens, simply CLICK HERE and provide your name and email address. Again, it’s free, there’s no credit card required, and you may unsubscribe at any time.
Our Spring Special, HUGE Savings
We run specials from time to time to allow new members an opportunity to enjoy our service for a year at a major discount. We started our annual Spring Special this past week and it runs through Monday at midnight. If you’d like to change your approach to the stock market and be more proactive, please consider taking advantage of this special. For more information and to Start Your Annual Membership Today, follow this link.
Happy trading!
Tom
Nordic Resources (NNL:AU) has announced A$3.5M Institutional Placement and New Chairman Appointed
Download the PDF here.
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Kaiser Reef Limited (“Kaiser”, or “the Company”) (ASX:KAU) is pleased to announce that the first 10 days of ownership of the Henty Gold Mine has progressed to plan and the operation continues to bed in under Kaiser ownership.
Highlights
- First 10 days of Henty ownership
- Record Kaiser gold pour >1,200 ounces from Henty
- Kaiser transformed into a ≈ 30kozpa gold producer1,3
The first gold pour under Kaiser’s ownership has likely exceeded 1,200oz of gold, and is currently in transit to the Perth Mint for refining and outturn.
The acquisition of the Henty Gold Mine has positioned Kaiser as a multi-asset gold producer with significant growth potential.
Brad Valiukas, Kaiser’s executive Director – Operations commented:
“It’s been an excellent start for Kaiser at Henty, the team is transitioning well, and operational performance has been excellent. We are well positioned to build on the success that Catalyst has had at Henty, as it becomes our flagship asset. Kaiser is now a significantly stronger Company with the incorporation of Henty, and we look forward to advancing our assets and the Company.”
Key highlights of the Henty Gold Mine include:
- Established production platform: Henty Gold Mine is a proven gold production operation, with historical production of 1.4Moz -8.9g/t2. Since its acquisition by Catalyst in 2021, significant operational improvements have been made, including investments in drill platforms, drilling, tailings, underground fleet and people.
- 5-year mine plan: Work to date has culminated in establishing a robust 5-year mine plan underpinned by a current Ore Reserves of 1.2Mt @ 4.0g/t for 154koz3. There is significant scope to extend mine life based on the current Mineral Resource of 4.1Mt @ 3.4g/t Au for 449koz3 along with the opportunities for near-mine exploration and development success.
- Significant infrastructure: The Henty mine benefits from significant infrastructure including a 300ktpa CIL processing plant, surface & underground workshops, administration complex, access to hydro generated grid power and refreshed tailings storage capacity.
- Implement and build on operational capacity: The Kaiser executive team brings extensive experience in optimising similar assets through a combination of operational improvement and targeted exploration investment. Supported by Catalyst as a 19.99% strategic shareholder, and skilled operating team and local workforce of over 150 employees, Kaiser is well-positioned to drive further value.
- Flagship asset: As Kaiser’s flagship asset, Henty will receive dedicated focus to continue the significant work completed by Catalyst and further drive operational improvements.
For further information in respect to the acquisition, please refer to the Company’s ASX Announcement dated 24 March 2025.
Click here for the full ASX Release
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My main question going into this weekend was, “Will the S&P 500 finish the week above its 200-day moving average?” And while the S&P 500 did indeed finish the week above this long-term trend barometer, our main equity benchmark is now within the gap range from earlier this month.
We’ll get to that crucial S&P 500 chart a little later, but first, I’d like to explain why gaps matter, why the price action post-gap is so important, and then apply these lessons to the SPX.
The “Gap and Run” Scenario Suggests an Influx of Buyers
One of two things tends to happen after a gap higher within an uptrend phase. The first scenario, which I call a “gap and run” pattern, is when additional buyers come in to push the price even higher.
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) features this gap and run pattern, with the gap higher on their Q1 earnings report followed by an additional appreciation in price. Basically, investors are not afraid to accumulate more MSFT, even after the stock gapped up from $395 to $430 overnight.
Did you catch our recent webcast, “Sell in May 2025: Seasonal Strategy or Outdated Myth?” We looked at the performance in May-June-July since the COVID low, then made a comparison between 2025 and the first half of 2022, when a break below the 200-day moving average was a sign of much further deterioration to come. Check out this excerpt on our YouTube channel!
Shares of Howmet Aerospace (HWM) demonstrated a similar gap and run pattern recently, although this example is perhaps even more significant because the gap took the price to a new all-time high! Again, we can see that additional buyers are coming in and accumulating more HWM, fueling further gains after the gap.
The “Gap and Fail” Pattern Shows a Lack of Willing Buyers
Sometimes, a chart will show a very different path after the gap, forming what I’ve termed a “gap and fail” pattern. Unlike the previous examples, here you’ll see that a lack of willing buyers causes the stock to quickly reverse lower into the range of the price gap.
In the case of semiconductor producer Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), the gap higher earlier this month was followed by two additional up days, which propelled the stock above its 200-day moving average. This short-term pop higher was followed by a sudden downside reversal, representing an exhaustion of buyers after the upside gap.
First Solar (FSLR) is demonstrating a similar pattern to MPWR, with a gap higher which pushed the stock just above the 200-day moving average to test the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A couple days later, FSLR was back below the 200-day moving average, followed by further deterioration that eventually closed the gap from earlier in May.
The S&P 500 Could Test Its Own Gap Support
So what do those example charts have to do with the S&P 500? Well, the SPX traded higher for about a week after the upside gap in early May. We’ve drawn a green-shaded range to highlight the gap from around 5725 to 5780. This gap includes the 200-day moving average and also lines up with the late March swing high.
I see the S&P 500 as in a constructive pattern as long as it remains above this price gap range. If we can see an upswing after this week’s pullback, then this could just be a pause within a broader recovery phase for the S&P.
On the other hand, if we see any further price weakness from the major benchmarks next week, then the chart of the S&P 500 will start to look pretty similar to other “gap and fail” charts that confirm a lack of willing buyers. If we do see that downside follow-through next week, we’d expect further deterioration to the 5500 level, representing a 50% retracement of the February to April selloff phase.
RR#6,
Dave
P.S. Ready to upgrade your investment process? Check out my free behavioral investing course!
David Keller, CMT
President and Chief Strategist
Sierra Alpha Research LLC
https://www.youtube.com/c/MarketMisbehavior
Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.
The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.
After a very strong move in the week before this one, the markets chose to take a breather. They moved in a wide range but ended the week on a mildly negative note after rebounding from their low point of the week. While defending the key levels, the markets largely chose to stay within a defined range. The trading range remained reasonably wide; the Nifty oscillated in a 600.55-point range over the past five sessions. The volatility inched modestly higher; the India Vix rose 4.40% to 17.28 on a weekly basis. While keeping its head above crucial levels, the headline index closed with a net weekly loss of 166.65 points (-0.67).
The coming week will be an expiry week; we will have monthly derivatives expiry playing out as well. Going by the options data, the Nifty has created a trading range between 25100 and 24500 levels. The markets are likely to consolidate in this 600-point trading range. A directional bias would emerge only if the Nifty takes out 25100 on the upside convincingly or ends up violating the 24500 level. While the underlying trend stays intact, the markets are unlikely to develop any sustainable trend so long as they do not move past the 25100 level. While the markets stay in the defined range, it would be prudent to vigilantly guard profits at higher levels and rotate sectors effectively to remain invested in the relatively stronger pockets.
The coming week is likely to see the levels of 25000 and 25175 acting as potential resistance points. The supports come in lower at 24600 and 24450 levels.
The weekly RSI is at 60.14; it stays neutral and does not show any divergence against the price. The weekly MACD is bullish and stays above its signal line.
The pattern analysis shows that the Nifty has formed a trading range between 25100 on the higher side and 24500 on the lower side. This means that a directional bias would emerge only if Nifty moves past 25100 convincingly or violates the 24500 level. Until either of these two things happens, we will see the Nifty consolidating in this defined range. The Nifty has so far defended the pattern support level that also exists in the 24400-24500 zone.
Overall, the markets continue to remain in a challenging environment and face strong resistance near the 25100 level. So long as the Nifty stays below this level, it stays prone to corrective spikes, which may also keep volatility at slightly elevated levels as well. Given the current technical structure, it would be imperative that not only the sectors be rotated properly to stay invested in relatively stronger pockets, but all existing gains must also be vigilantly guarded at current levels by the investors. While continuing to keep leveraged exposures at modest levels, a cautious outlook is advised for the coming week.
Sector Analysis for the coming week
In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks.
Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that while the Nifty Consumption, PSU Bank, Infrastructure, Banknifty, FMCG, and Commodities indices are in the leading quadrant, all are showing a distinct slowdown in their relative momentum against the broader Nifty 500 Index. While these groups are likely to show resilience and may relatively outperform, except for the Consumption Index, they are giving up in favor of other sectors that are showing renewed relative strength.
The Nifty Financial Services Index has rolled inside the weakening quadrant. The Nifty Metal and Services Sector Indices are also inside the weakening quadrant.
While the Nifty Pharma Index continues to languish inside the lagging quadrant, the IT Index, which is also inside the lagging quadrant, is showing sharp improvement in its relative momentum against the broader markets.
The Nifty Realty, Auto, Midcap 100, and Energy Sector Indices are inside the improving quadrant. These groups are expected to continue bettering their relative performance against the broader markets.
Important Note: RRG charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.
Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Consulting Technical Analyst
Virtual Investor Conferences, the leading proprietary investor conference series, today announced the presentations from Precious Metals & Critical Minerals Hybrid Virtual Investor Conference held May 22 nd are now available for online viewing.
VIEW PRESENTATIONS HERE
The company presentations will be available 24/7 for 90 days. Investors, advisors, and analysts may download
investor materials from the company’s resource section.
May 22 nd
| Presentation | Ticker(s) |
| Keynote Presentation: ‘What’s next for precious metals?’ -Jeff Christian, Managing Partner of CPM Group |
|
| Viva Gold Corp. | (OTCQB: VAUCF | TSXV: VAU) |
| StrikePoint Gold, Inc. | (OTCQB: STKXF | TSXV: SKP) |
| Honey Badger Silver Inc. | (OTCQB: HBEIF | TSXV: TUF) |
| Relevant Gold Corp. | (OTCQB: RGCCF | TSXV: RGC) |
| Keynote Presentation: ‘Surveying the Critical Metals Landscape,’ –Jack Lifton, Senior Advisor, Energy Fuels, Inc. |
|
| Azimut Exploration Inc. | (OTCQX: AZMTF | TSXV: AZM) |
| Energy Fuels Inc. | (NYSE American: UUUU | TSX: EFR) |
| Lion Copper & Gold Corp. | (OTCQB: LCGMF | CSE: LEO) |
| Alaska Silver Corp. | (Pink: WAMFF |TSXV: WAM) |
| Cygnus Metals Ltd. | (OTCQB: CYGGF |TSXV: CYG |ASX: CY5) |
| Power Metallic Mines, Inc. | (OTCQB: PNPNF |TSXV: PNPN) |
To facilitate investor relations scheduling and to view a complete calendar of Virtual Investor Conferences, please visit www.virtualinvestorconferences.com .
About Virtual Investor Conferences ®
Virtual Investor Conferences (VIC) is the leading proprietary investor conference series that provides an interactive forum for publicly traded companies to seamlessly present directly to investors.
Providing a real-time investor engagement solution, VIC is specifically designed to offer companies more efficient investor access. Replicating the components of an on-site investor conference, VIC offers companies enhanced capabilities to connect with investors, schedule targeted one-on-one meetings and enhance their presentations with dynamic video content. Accelerating the next level of investor engagement, Virtual Investor Conferences delivers leading investor communications to a global network of retail and institutional investors.
Media Contact:
OTC Markets Group Inc. +1 (212) 896-4428, media@otcmarkets.com
Virtual Investor Conferences Contact:
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johnv@otcmarkets.com
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The once-solid relationship between President Donald Trump and Apple CEO Tim Cook is breaking down over the idea of a U.S.-made iPhone.
Last week, Trump said he “had a little problem with Tim Cook,” and on Friday, he threatened to slap a 25% tariff on iPhones in a social media post.
Trump is upset with Apple’s plan to source the majority of iPhones sold in the U.S. from its factory partners in India, instead of China. Cook confirmed this plan earlier this month during earnings discussions.
Trump wants Apple to build iPhones for the U.S. market in the U.S. and has continued to pressure the company and Cook.
“I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone’s that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else,” Trump posted on Truth Social on Friday.
Analysts said it would probably make more sense for Apple to eat the cost rather than move production stateside.
“In terms of profitability, it’s way better for Apple to take the hit of a 25% tariff on iPhones sold in the US market than to move iPhone assembly lines back to US,” Apple supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo wrote on X.
UBS analyst David Vogt said that the potential 25% tariffs were a “jarring headline” but that they would only be a “modest headwind” to Apple’s earnings, dropping annual earnings by 51 cents per share, versus a prior expectation of 34 cents per share under the current tariff landscape.
Experts have long held that a U.S.-made iPhone is impossible at worst and highly expensive at best.
Analysts have said that iPhones made in the U.S. would be much more expensive, CNBC previously reported, with some estimates ranging between $1,500 and $3,500 to buy one at retail. Labor costs would certainly rise.
But it would also be logistically complicated.
Supply chains and factories take years to build out, including installing equipment and staffing up. Parts that Apple imported to the United States for assembly might be subject to tariffs as well.
Apple started manufacturing iPhones in India in 2017 but it was only in recent years that the region was capable of building Apple’s latest devices.
“We believe the concept of Apple producing iPhones in the US is a fairy tale that is not feasible,” wrote Wedbush analyst Dan Ives in a note on Friday.
Other analysts were wary about predicting how Trump’s threat ultimately plays out. Apple might be able to strike a deal with the administration — despite the eroding relationship — or challenge the tariffs in court.
For now, most of Apple’s most important products are exempt from tariffs after Trump gave phones and computers a tariff waiver — even from China — in April, but Apple doesn’t know how the Trump administration’s tariffs will ultimately play out beyond June.
“We’re skeptical” that the 25% tariff will materialize, wrote Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers.
He wrote that Apple could try to preserve its roughly 41% gross margin on iPhones by raising prices in the U.S. by between $100 and $300 per phone.
It’s unclear how Trump intends to target Apple’s India-made iPhones. Rakers wrote that the administration could put specific tariffs on phone imports from India.
Apple’s operations in India continue to expand.
Foxconn, which assembles iPhones for Apple, is building a new $1.5 billion factory in India that could do some iPhone production, the Financial Times reported Thursday.
Apple declined to comment on Trump’s post.
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